This is our second post looking back at this year’s war over the federal workforce. The first post is here.
The current administration has faced a staggering number of lawsuits, including dozens related to its attacks on federal workers. For example, there are at least ten lawsuits arising from Trump’s attempt to downsize and eliminate the Department of Education and at least sixteen lawsuits challenging the executive order stripping collective bargaining rights from many federal employees. (This data is from the Just Security Litigation Tracker, a very helpful resource for tracking these lawsuits).
Unfortunately, the lawsuits have not stopped Trump from carrying out terrible policies, like massive reductions in force (RIFs), the closure of USAID, and the attack on union bargaining rights. Some of the suits have failed, and others face significant obstacles.
But it’s also worthwhile to recognize positive results. Lawsuits have mitigated some of the harm from the Trump administration’s attack on the federal workforce. This post discusses some of those cases and discusses why the “channeling doctrine” has been less of an obstacle so far than the administration has hoped.
(Note: Given the volume of litigation, this post will necessarily be incomplete. We apologize for the omissions.)
Key successes in court: limiting probationary employee terminations and protecting several agencies and subagencies
Perhaps the greatest success story is litigation over probationary employee terminations. It appears that lawsuits saved the jobs of at least 17,000 probationary employees. We calculate this number by starting with the number of probationary employees who initially received termination notices–about 24,000–and subtracting the number who were ultimately terminated–fewer than 7000, according to Scott Kupor, director of the Office of Personnel Management (OPM).
The lawsuits protected thousands of jobs even though favorable court orders were in effect for less than a month. In California, Judge Alsup ordered reinstatement of probationary employees at several agencies, but his order was stayed by the Supreme Court. In Maryland, Judge Bredar ordered reinstatement of probationary employees at most agencies, but his order was stayed by the Fourth Circuit. At that point, the administration was free to re-fire the employees. But most agencies did not.
Why not? The policy of terminating probationary employee was fragile. It was developed hastily by OPM without significant political support or executive branch input. Even the 900-page Project 2025 document did not recommend mass terminations of probationary employees; it merely contained a brief reference to “remind[ing] supervisors of expiring employee probationary periods.” A main driver of slashing the federal workforce, Elon Musk, was a “solo actor” who was taking drugs, according to the White House Chief of Staff. So one lesson is that, when a policy rests on such a shaky foundation, even a short-lived court order might significantly undercut its implementation.
Great credit is due to those who brought and litigated the cases, including the American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) and American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees (AFSCME), the attorney general offices of Maryland and other states, the law firm Altshuler Berzon, and others. (James & Hoffman has not been involved in any of the court cases discussed in this post.)
Litigants have also been successful in stopping (for now) the administration’s efforts to shut down several agencies or subagencies, such as the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) and National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH). For example:
- Ten months after Russell Vought instructed CFPB employees to stay home and stop working, the agency still exists. Plaintiffs obtained a favorable order from the district court, and that ruling remains in place due to a recent decision by the D.C. Circuit to hear the case en banc (meaning that all active judges on the court will participate).
- Similarly, a court rejected the administration’s attempt to effectively shutter several components of HHS, such as the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, through RIFs. The court of appeals allowed the order to remain in effect while the appeal is litigated, and the administration did not ask the Supreme Court to lift that order.
- Another court enjoined the administration’s attempt to close the Institute of Museum and Library Services, Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service, and Minority Business and Development agency. Again, the court of appeals allowed the order to remain in place pending appeal, and the administration did not ask the Supreme Court to lift that order.
These cases have been brought by litigants including the National Treasury Employees Union, nonprofit organizations, and a number of states.
There have been some other notable victories, though they have not yet been reviewed by an appellate court. These include:
- A court stopped the administration from completing layoffs that were implemented during the government shutdown.
- A court ordered the administration to stop putting partisan messages in employees’ auto-replies during the shutdown.
As discussed below, a key element in these successes has been that courts have rejected some attempts by the administration to argue that the disputes must be resolved initially through an administrative forum like the Merit Systems Protection Board (MSPB).
Losses
On the other hand, the administration has notched a number of significant victories:
- The Supreme Court rejected lower court injunctions that stopped RIFs across the federal government and at the Department of Education. This cleared the way for nearly 20,000 terminations via RIF.
- A district court refused to stop the shutdown of USAID. Another lawsuit over the dismantling of USAID is still pending; in that case, Judge Chuang from Maryland issued an order that Elon Musk and DOGE stop working to close the agency, but the court of appeals lifted the injunction.
- A district court allowed the deferred resignation program to move forward.
- The courts permitted Trump to fire MSPB board member Cathy Harris, Special Counsel Hampton Dellinger, and others.
Many other cases are still pending. Ultimately, the administration has been able to carry out many of its worst policies, leading to an 11% reduction in the federal workforce in 2025.
In some of the unsuccessful lawsuits, the courts did not address the merits of the case but instead rejected the claims on procedural grounds. As a result, the issues raised in the cases may still be decided in other forums, such as the MSPB. For example, employees are challenging the validity of RIFs at USAID and other agencies through MSPB appeals. The MSPB has also certified class actions for probationary employees in four agencies where they were either re-fired or where they have not yet been made whole after they were initially terminated. The cases before the MSPB may eventually be heard by the Federal Circuit Court of Appeals, which hears petitions for review from final MSPB decisions, and perhaps eventually by the Supreme Court.
The “channeling doctrine” has not been totally insurmountable
In nearly all of the lawsuits discussed above, a key question has been whether the plaintiffs are allowed to bring their claim directly to court, or whether the issues must first be addressed through an administrative forum like the Merit Systems Protection Board (MSPB).
Under a legal doctrine known as “channeling,” courts have historically refused to hear most cases involving federal employees, holding that the cases must be “channeled” to the MSPB and other similar forums. For instance, in 2012, the Supreme Court applied the doctrine in Elgin v. Department of the Treasury to hold that employees could not go directly to court to argue that their terminations were unconstitutional, but rather should bring their claims to the MSPB–even though, as the Court acknowledged, “the MSPB has repeatedly refused to pass upon the constitutionality of legislation.”
In the first few months of 2025, federal courts relied on the channeling doctrine to reject several lawsuits related to the federal workforce. For example, in February, a court cited the doctrine to reject a lawsuit over the deferred resignation program. That same month, another court did so when it allowed the administration to close USAID.
But since then, courts have issued some important orders against the administration in spite of channeling arguments. These include the orders discussed above that stopped probationary employee terminations and prevented the closure of several agencies.
Several factors have contributed to the ability of litigants to avoid the channeling doctrine in some cases.
First, the administration’s actions have been so unprecedented, destructive, and legally questionable that courts appear to have perceived a strong need for judicial intervention.
Second, some of the cases have been brought by parties other than employees and unions, such as cities, states, or nonprofit groups affected by the administration’s actions. These plaintiffs have persuasively argued that channeling does not apply to them because they cannot bring claims through any administrative process. (This strategy can only work, however, when a party other than employees or unions can show a sufficiently concrete injury.)
Third, even in some cases brought by employees or unions representing them, litigants have raised credible arguments that the issues raised in the lawsuits are not of the kind that Congress intended to be resolved initially by administrative forums like the MSPB.
Fourth, although the administration has argued that federal employee issues must be resolved by agencies like the MSPB, it has simultaneously violated the statutes that make those agencies independent by firing officials without cause, citing the unitary executive theory. This has weakened the case for applying channeling, as at least one court of appeals has recognized.
Notably, the Supreme Court has not weighed in on channeling during this administration, although the administration has invoked it in several filings with the Court. For example, the Court bypassed channeling arguments in the California probationary employees case and cases involving RIFs government-wide and at the Department of Education. Nevertheless, the Court ruled for the administration in each case.
It’s unclear what to make of the Court’s silence on channeling. Perhaps some members of the Court are still formulating their views. Only five of the current justices were on the Court for its last last major case on channeling, the Elgin case in 2012. And recent developments may have caused some of those justices to reconsider their views. Justice Sotomayor ruled in favor of the government in Elgin, while Justice Alito ruled against the government; in more recent disputes on federal employee issues, those justices have more often been on the opposite side.
It seems likely that the Supreme Court will address channeling in 2026 in 2027. For instance, the administration has announced that it will ask the Court to review the channeling question in a case involving restrictions on the ability of immigration judges to speak freely outside of work.
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The administration’s attack on federal workers has been destructive, but it could have been worse if not for the hard work of litigants and some favorable decisions by courts. In 2026 and 2027, we will likely see resolutions in several of the pending cases. Further, the Supreme Court will likely clarify the channeling doctrine, which will establish whether cases like these can be pursued directly in court. Finally, the MSPB will decide appeals challenging many of this year’s terminations of federal employees. The outcome of these cases will determine the fate of thousands of terminated employees and shape the legacy of Trump’s war on the federal workforce.
-Danny Rosenthal and Charlotte Schwartz, attorneys at James & Hoffman